Peru

Peruvian table grape season export projection revised down again due to El Niño

November 10 , 2026

Abnormal weather conditions continue to hit the prospects of the Peruvian table grape industry hard. 

In its third report of the season, industry body PROVID updated its export projection for the 2026/27 campaign, revising it down from 78.7 million in October to 66.1 million 8.2 kilo-boxes in November. 

The latest report reflects a 16 percent month-over-month decline and a staggering 24 percent year-on-year drop in volumes. 

Peru table grape

Table grape projections vary geographically

The revision again reflects persistent weather abnormalities in Peru's table grape-producing regions, especially in the north. There, vineyards have been hit by heavy precipitation and fluctuating temperatures due to El Niño, decimating export projections by 53 percent to 18.2 million boxes. 

“In this area, rain and high field humidity have created challenges for harvesting operations and fruit condition,” said PROVID in its latest report. 

According to the country’s National Service of Meteorology and Hydrology, average minimum temperatures in September deviated by more than six degrees Celsius from historical averages, highlighting unusual weather conditions in this producing zone.

To date, the region accounts for 84 percent of shipments.

Chilean table grapes

Weather patterns have been gentler in southern producing regions in Peru, where export forecasts have remained unchanged year over year at 48 million boxes, despite previous projections estimating regional shipments at nearly 51 million boxes. 

“In this area, an advance of up to four weeks in the start of the harvest has been recorded for certain varieties, a trend that will continue to be monitored as the season progresses,” PROVID explained. 

According to the producer association, rain forecasts for the coming days along the coast are drawing attention to field conditions and their potential impact on the fruit, so PROVID will continue to update its 2026/27 export projection as the season develops.

Peruvian grape exports to date 

According to a November 8th update posted to PROVID's LinkedIn page, as of the first of the month, exports of Peruvian table grapes reached 17.5 million 8.2 kilo-boxes, equivalent to 143,530 metric tons and 8,104 containers.

Among the main exported varieties, Sweet Globe stands out with 28 percent, followed by Red Globe (17 percent), and Allison and Autumn Crisp, both with 13 percent. North America accounts for 40 percent of export destinations, followed by Europe with 38 percent.

"Compared to the previous two campaigns, the volume exported through week 44 shows significant progress, reaching 17.5 million boxes, compared to 10.9 million in the 2025/26 campaign and 11.6 million in the 2024/25 campaign," the organization posted. 

*All images by MIDAGRI | Archive


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