The Association of Table Grape Producers of Peru (PROVID) estimates a nine percent year-on-year decline in production for the 2026/27 season, totaling 78.7 million 8.2-kg boxes.
This figure also represents a nearly five percent downward adjustment from the 82.65 million boxes estimated in the first projection.
With the release of the first season estimate, the table grape organization explained in a LinkedIn post that outlooks already considered the adverse effects of the El Niño phenomenon, but warned about the possibility of further adjustments in production forecast.
Image by MINAGRI | Archive
Harvesting has not yet begun on some plots, and PROVID noted that the northern region is expected to reach its production peak between weeks 44 and 47.
“The coming weeks will be key to reducing uncertainty in the estimate,” the organization said.
Weather disruptions have not affected the Andean country uniformly, and table grape production variability largely depends on location.
According to PROVID, the northern region projects 27.8 million boxes, 28 percent less than the previous season, due to an early harvest of up to three weeks. This has affected some varieties and resulted in lighter bunch weights associated with smaller berry size.
Image by Shutterstock
Conversely, the southern region is expected to reach 50.9 million boxes, a six percent growth driven by an increase in producing acreage. This region also experienced an earlier-than-expected start to the season, PROVID explained, the effects of which will continue to be monitored by the industry as the harvest progresses.
“PROVID reaffirms its commitment to sharing timely updates regarding this projection, aiming to provide transparent, reliable, and prompt information for decision-making across all supply chain participants,” the organization concluded.
*All images are referential.
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