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Global table grape exports reached a new milestone in 2025, exceeding 5 million tons traded and $10 billion in value.
China led with 857,000 tons (17 percent of volume), ahead of Peru at 695,000 tons (14 percent), and Chile at 560,000 tons (11 percent).
The result caps a decade-long climb. China first became a net exporter in 2016 and has grown shipments almost every year since. The country's crop has expanded for seven straight years, with the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimating the 2025/26 harvest near 15 million tons, up about six percent, supported by rain shelters and year-round varieties.
Stronger supply has cut its need to import. Purchases fell to roughly 106,000 tons in 2025 from about 250,000 in 2020, and China–Hong Kong's share of global imports slid from 12 percent in 2016 to four percent in 2025.
Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
Nearly 60 percent of China's exports go to nearby Southeast Asian markets, led by its Shine Muscat offering. That growth has been driven by scale rather than value, and aggressive planting has begun to weigh on some domestic prices by early 2026.
On the demand side, the United States remains the leading importer of table grapes, accounting for 17 percent of international purchases, followed by Germany (seven percent), the Netherlands (six percent), and the United Kingdom (five percent).
The 2025/26 American season saw heavier supplier overlap, earlier US and Mexican harvests plus more Peruvian fruit, which increased competition late in the season.
Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
Peru has overtaken Chile as the leading Southern Hemisphere exporter, expanding its export-certified area more than 50 percent over the decade, while Chile leans toward replanting.
China's ascent is the culmination of a decade of build-out. Its next test is qualitative, moving up the value chain as volumes continue to grow.
*Main imge is referential via Shutterstock | All graphs courtesy of Agronometrics
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